Hi. After another solid week (at least by my standards), REBBL Elo comes back to predict GMAN games.

The prediction record for week 5 was 54-30-31 at the time of writing, which amounts to 47% correct overall and 64% of the winners. The increase in draws this week pushed the expected overall result for someone picking at random down so that 47% mark seems ok. What is good, though, is picking close to two thirds of winners; which is about what I'm looking for this season. Tiers 2 and 4 were where the results shined, with 80% of winners being picked correctly (best division was GMAN 2B, where the prediction record was 6-1-0). The worst result came from GMAN 5B (1-2-3 record).

Enjoy the picks for week 6:

GMAN - Division 1

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Prof Paresthesia's PetsNecromantic144574-35-52 vs DarkElf62.33%
[GMAN] Don't mess with usDarkElf129252-35-74 vs Necromantic37.67%
[REBBL] BrutaliaDwarf141351-24-36 vs Skaven53.28%
Ravens ClawsSkaven137436-24-51 vs Dwarf46.72%
TEAM FANTASTICChaos162781-46-81 vs DarkElf68.59%
[G] Absolute DisasterDarkElf139081-46-81 vs Chaos31.41%
Ready Lizard OneLizardman153918-9-12 vs Vampire43.05%
Bloodsuckers inc.Vampire162412-9-18 vs Lizardman56.95%
The LizzardblizzardLizardman144778-38-59 vs Orc67.65%
Da Big Mulligans!Orc122359-38-78 vs Lizardman32.35%
Dark Angels of LilithDarkElf129781-46-81 vs Chaos39.44%
Slaanesh_SlaughterersChaos142781-46-81 vs DarkElf60.56%
The Iords of The DanceNurgle133165-35-48 vs Chaos52.81%
Marvellous MutantsChaos129748-35-65 vs Nurgle47.19%

 

GMAN - Division 2A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Da Waagh TigerzOrc120626-13-17 vs Underworld63.35%
Crystal Core ProcesserUnderworld104017-13-26 vs Orc36.65%
Nurgle Murgle OurgleNurgle132166-37-54 vs Orc72.06%
Uruk HaikusOrc103354-37-66 vs Nurgle27.94%
Bitten HeroesVampire107411-4-8 vs HighElf47.63%
Sun-Baked Sea-GuardHighElf11038-4-11 vs Vampire52.37%
Bert Space Bounty HuntersBretonnia128719-4-24 vs WoodElf61.86%
Moist OwlettesWoodElf114024-4-19 vs Bretonnia38.14%
Chosen of Papa NurgleNurgle121351-25-64 vs Lizardman53.28%
QuiguanasLizardman117364-25-51 vs Nurgle46.72%
RRMafia MumbleratsSkaven134772-32-73 vs DarkElf58.95%
Chaqua ChangelingsDarkElf123773-32-72 vs Skaven41.05%
United Scarab KhemiratesKhemri12764-3-10 vs Kislev42.75%
I hätt a SauspielKislev136510-3-4 vs Khemri57.25%

 

GMAN - Division 2B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Jinny's SugardaddiesDarkElf115669-37-66 vs Lizardman47.28%
Cento MontaditosLizardman118966-37-69 vs DarkElf52.72%
Knights Saying NiBretonnia124931-18-34 vs DarkElf44.20%
Darkstar Second LinersDarkElf132034-18-31 vs Bretonnia55.80%
Shock & GoreUndead104020-23-23 vs Nurgle36.58%
Fly Lord ServantsNurgle120723-23-20 vs Undead63.42%
Smart ModelsChaosDwarf121416-4-2 vs Goblin72.43%
TRust in GobGoblin9202-4-16 vs ChaosDwarf27.57%
Orctually RidiculousOrc114271-34-76 vs Skaven27.75%
The Rat REBBLSkaven143376-34-71 vs Orc72.25%
Hell's DoofusesChaos151520-17-23 vs Khemri77.28%
The Imperishable FourKhemri114323-17-20 vs Chaos22.72%
Bare GillsKislev12679-2-11 vs HighElf50.19%
The Voltrex VanguardHighElf126411-2-9 vs Kislev49.81%

 

GMAN - Division 3A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Goin' le HAMBretonnia125614-9-19 vs Undead58.64%
Teufelheim TacklersUndead115019-9-14 vs Bretonnia41.36%
DRADIS Contact!DarkElf126554-39-76 vs Nurgle65.89%
My favourit thingsNurgle106576-39-54 vs DarkElf34.11%
High SailsWoodElf81837-16-36 vs ChaosDwarf33.90%
Men of Grosser BloodChaosDwarf102136-16-37 vs WoodElf66.10%
Gorkacidal TendenciesOrc104171-47-87 vs Chaos49.87%
Nuffle's Yellow HornsChaos104287-47-71 vs Orc50.13%
Every Game I'm Nufflin'Skaven95118-4-20 vs Amazon41.91%
Jungler BeatsAmazon105120-4-18 vs Skaven58.09%
Nomentano AthleticsHighElf112627-11-24 vs Human65.34%
Howling_HuntersHuman93324-11-27 vs HighElf34.66%

 

GMAN - Division 3B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Defence of the AnagramsBretonnia113119-4-24 vs WoodElf49.24%
Sabertooth Vag 3.0WoodElf114024-4-19 vs Bretonnia50.76%
KingslayerzsUnderworld118114-15-33 vs ChaosDwarf53.12%
Ruining Everbodys FunChaosDwarf114333-15-14 vs Underworld46.88%
Bull to the boneChaosDwarf107752-32-46 vs Necromantic72.66%
Very Necromantic NecrosNecromantic78046-32-52 vs ChaosDwarf27.34%
Third GuardiansLizardman103116-6-4 vs Ogre67.26%
Bone Fighter BooOgre8124-6-16 vs Lizardman32.74%
Full Throttle RottersNurgle102224-17-31 vs Khemri48.27%
Granny's ChosenKhemri104331-17-24 vs Nurgle51.73%
Furry HaremSkaven104270-30-69 vs Chaos41.90%
Iron MaddenChaos114269-30-70 vs Skaven58.10%

 

GMAN - Division 3C

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Mirkwood AthleticProElf103418-12-23 vs Orc51.54%
Dazzle WhaaagstazOrc101523-12-18 vs ProElf48.46%
Darkside DreamersDarkElf124634-18-31 vs Bretonnia58.83%
Knight Juggler is backBretonnia113731-18-34 vs DarkElf41.17%
Under - Sartosa BBASkaven116135-24-43 vs Norse62.08%
Nordic NoobletsNorse101143-24-35 vs Skaven37.92%
Kopi LuwakHighElf118814-6-15 vs Khemri48.90%
Blood ==> SandKhemri120215-6-14 vs HighElf51.10%
The Injurious BasterdsLizardman129235-11-11 vs Underworld65.11%
Glart DeathGrips Jr.Underworld110211-11-35 vs Lizardman34.89%
Natural TalentWoodElf113943-17-33 vs Nurgle57.73%
The_Toxic_Avengers Nurgle104433-17-43 vs WoodElf42.27%

 

GMAN - Division 4A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Tall Dwarfs With No AVNorse7989-5-8 vs Kislev20.50%
Altdorf AcrobataKislev12108-5-9 vs Norse79.50%
Beefheart + his merry menOrc92671-34-76 vs Skaven55.01%
Rats on a StickSkaven86576-34-71 vs Orc44.99%
Stuff From My FridgeNurgle107176-39-54 vs DarkElf53.76%
Baltigore RavensDarkElf102554-39-76 vs Nurgle46.24%
The Sit Down BoysProElf106023-12-16 vs Chaos46.28%
ValleKas Ass KickersChaos110516-12-23 vs ProElf53.72%
Sneaky BlindersUnderworld5835-2-3 vs Goblin30.34%
The Bootleg AllstarsGoblin8363-2-5 vs Underworld69.66%
Tridentum ExsecrataNecromantic115926-6-17 vs Amazon69.17%
UmweltschützerinnenAmazon91317-6-26 vs Necromantic30.83%
Oomies:Electric BoogalooHuman90241-24-41 vs Orc33.36%
Kommunity SportOrc111241-24-41 vs Human66.64%

 

GMAN - Division 4B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
OrconudosOrc116871-34-76 vs Skaven86.79%
Lurning with LearnieSkaven59576-34-71 vs Orc13.21%
Typical SpanishDarkElf110681-46-81 vs Chaos35.64%
Toro LocoChaos128681-46-81 vs DarkElf64.36%
The DuellistsAmazon94715-11-10 vs Orc72.48%
Feenix HardznailsOrc65210-11-15 vs Amazon27.52%
Waleed's WarriorsUnderworld98624-13-38 vs DarkElf44.40%
The Khaine ToadsDarkElf105438-13-24 vs Underworld55.60%
Ruhr Valley PitmenHuman103826-15-53 vs Necromantic66.08%
Horror All StarsNecromantic83553-15-26 vs Human33.92%
BloodhorseChaosDwarf108936-16-37 vs WoodElf66.33%
Soul GuysWoodElf88237-16-36 vs ChaosDwarf33.67%

 

GMAN - Division 4C

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Calradian CrusadersNurgle89465-35-48 vs Chaos59.47%
Jopen_craftbeersChaos77848-35-65 vs Nurgle40.53%
Woofbark's MischiefSkaven133572-32-73 vs DarkElf81.94%
Alfheim ArtistsDarkElf87673-32-72 vs Skaven18.06%
Düsseldorf Rhein FireDarkElf110748-17-45 vs WoodElf59.34%
Shurgard Elf-Storage. WoodElf99245-17-48 vs DarkElf40.66%
Thermonuclear POMBChaosDwarf119449-34-34 vs Orc78.10%
Rorarimbo OrcsOrc80734-34-49 vs ChaosDwarf21.90%
AlligatoradeLizardman104856-32-73 vs Necromantic56.53%
Legion of Dead MetalNecromantic96873-32-56 vs Lizardman43.47%
Block you like a hurricanKhemri115815-6-6 vs Norse54.31%
Freyja's GuardNorse11066-6-15 vs Khemri45.69%
Deustuko DragonsHighElf85558-36-56 vs Orc37.79%
G&M's MessagersOrc100656-36-58 vs HighElf62.21%

 

GMAN - Division 4D

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Arrogant Bar StewardsHighElf79811-2-9 vs Kislev37.88%
Bare NecessitiesKislev9489-2-11 vs HighElf62.12%
The Tanking GeneralsChaos106954-12-54 vs Chaos57.23%
Nurgle Community CollegeChaos98054-12-54 vs Chaos42.77%
The Dark SídheDarkElf94112-4-2 vs Goblin68.99%
Nuffle`s Chosen MisfitsGoblin6982-4-12 vs DarkElf31.01%
Zmaji SeveraNorse113643-24-35 vs Skaven49.82%
Teenage Ninja RatsSkaven113835-24-43 vs Norse50.18%
Da Happy SunsOrc95554-37-66 vs Nurgle74.19%
A Grimm TaleNurgle63466-37-54 vs Orc25.81%
GrimDragster's IVProElf96918-12-23 vs Orc54.87%
grinchOrc91023-12-18 vs ProElf45.13%
Kingfisher KnightsHuman97926-15-53 vs Necromantic42.71%
The Last CaressNecromantic106853-15-26 vs Human57.29%

 

GMAN - Division 4E

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Maize of TormentNecromantic107440-13-23 vs Underworld60.92%
Tasty TunesUnderworld93923-13-40 vs Necromantic39.08%
Southern WildlingsNorse93642-20-42 vs Orc48.51%
Saucy PigsOrc95442-20-42 vs Norse51.49%
The Byzantine BashersChaos79821-6-10 vs Kislev35.43%
Chicago BolshoitKislev98010-6-21 vs Chaos64.57%
RBBLs SupremacyHighElf106729-22-37 vs ChaosDwarf41.09%
Only Foals and HobgoblinsChaosDwarf117637-22-29 vs HighElf58.91%
Tyrion's Trial By CombatDwarf104126-24-26 vs WoodElf77.65%
TRBBL TryhardsWoodElf66226-24-26 vs Dwarf22.35%
Backhand Bashing BoomersHuman118228-21-43 vs Skaven66.83%
Rat Street BoysSkaven96943-21-28 vs Human33.17%
Healed to DeathNurgle109176-39-54 vs DarkElf62.04%
Rolling RenegadesDarkElf94154-39-76 vs Nurgle37.96%

 

GMAN - Division 4F

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
BreakNec RampageNecromantic100253-51-53 vs Nurgle49.10%
The Bob BrotherhoodNurgle101353-51-53 vs Necromantic50.90%
Da Orc'BoyzOrc89346-20-34 vs Dwarf64.34%
Bad Dorfs RedditDwarf71434-20-46 vs Orc35.66%
Born In The 80sDarkElf99935-50-54 vs ChaosDwarf51.09%
Exploding SkullsChaosDwarf98654-50-35 vs DarkElf48.91%
Ram Jam on HaywireOrc101156-36-58 vs HighElf52.09%
Maybe a season?HighElf98558-36-56 vs Orc47.91%
The Candymine FactionUnderworld87021-10-30 vs Skaven29.30%
Not for the Cat#1Skaven113730-10-21 vs Underworld70.70%
Sigmar Blood Knights RbblHuman7107-5-9 vs Vampire52.07%
Bloody Bullies of BarriaVampire6859-5-7 vs Human47.93%

 

GMAN - Division 5A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Amazing StrippersWoodElf90749-22-47 vs Necromantic52.61%
DeadpolsNecromantic87547-22-49 vs WoodElf47.39%
The Blessed OnesChaos90420-17-23 vs Khemri39.00%
FullMetal AlkhemristKhemri104023-17-20 vs Chaos61.00%
The KleaptocratsKislev11327-2-6 vs Amazon54.02%
Rockomotive GitcrushersAmazon10836-2-7 vs Kislev45.98%
Witches Be Trippin'DarkElf92132-18-33 vs Khemri48.27%
FullMetal's AlkhemristsKhemri94233-18-32 vs DarkElf51.73%
Dorflectric MayhemDwarf88613-4-5 vs ProElf50.43%
[REBBL]Delicacies of DoomProElf8815-4-13 vs Dwarf49.57%
Revenge Of The RattatasSkaven111172-32-73 vs DarkElf53.73%
Serpents of InnoruukDarkElf106573-32-72 vs Skaven46.27%
Hat TricksChaosDwarf116743-39-57 vs Nurgle56.84%
Fecal Fantasy VIINurgle108357-39-43 vs ChaosDwarf43.16%

 

GMAN - Division 5B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
The Tunnel SneaksSkaven105311-0-2 vs Halfling65.56%
Cookpot CanniballsHalfling8582-0-11 vs Skaven34.44%
17 Weeks of SufferingNorse101725-16-45 vs DarkElf50.68%
Darkest DelfsDarkElf100945-16-25 vs Norse49.32%
Porc squadOrc103531-26-40 vs Undead56.96%
Fruit of the TombUndead95040-26-31 vs Orc43.04%
Da Orkz On TourOrc107659-38-78 vs Lizardman54.32%
Hexoatl BravesLizardman102378-38-59 vs Orc45.68%
2+ Supreme LeadersHighElf97139-25-59 vs Skaven55.42%
Gas Town Gangers Skaven90559-25-39 vs HighElf44.58%
One thick coatChaosDwarf100120-7-8 vs Kislev53.15%
The Bridgeburners!Kislev9638-7-20 vs ChaosDwarf46.85%
Tungsten TitansDwarf104713-4-3 vs Vampire46.26%
Blood & Tears.Vampire10933-4-13 vs Dwarf53.74%

 

GMAN - Division 5C

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Zuggogh Wild BoarzOrc96091-49-83 vs DarkElf45.75%
TraumameistridDarkElf101283-49-91 vs Orc54.25%
our dog fridayNecromantic93617-6-11 vs Kislev61.82%
LOS PAYASOS DE LA TELEKislev78911-6-17 vs Necromantic38.18%
Grail Knights CavalryBretonnia115817-8-15 vs Norse53.30%
Norfsca FCNorse111715-8-17 vs Bretonnia46.70%
Die Wilde 13Skaven120230-10-21 vs Underworld80.12%
The Warped PoneysUnderworld77921-10-30 vs Skaven19.88%
Face PlantersHighElf104758-36-56 vs Orc35.72%
Cracking'n WreckingOrc122656-36-58 vs HighElf64.28%
ChaosicaChaos89816-12-23 vs ProElf51.00%
REBBL VaporwelvesProElf88623-12-16 vs Chaos49.00%
Bloody Dark Spiky MaimersDarkElf103034-16-54 vs Dwarf55.79%
Mosh Mob MünchenDwarf96054-16-34 vs DarkElf44.21%

 

GMAN - Division 5D

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Winged AdversariesHighElf111939-25-59 vs Skaven72.30%
ZarratSkaven82759-25-39 vs HighElf27.70%
New Yorc PilandersOrc117859-38-78 vs Lizardman69.24%
Don Bluth's BedlamsLizardman93278-38-59 vs Orc30.76%
Kislev SyndromeKislev101713-2-9 vs Underworld49.69%
Ascii Rats&GobsUnderworld10219-2-13 vs Kislev50.31%
[R] InmemoriumUndead85519-9-14 vs Bretonnia45.54%
Victorian VictoryBretonnia91014-9-19 vs Undead54.46%
Major AnnoyanceSkaven105770-30-69 vs Chaos52.37%
Black Death BuccaneersChaos102869-30-70 vs Skaven47.63%
Bloody SinfulDarkElf94335-50-54 vs ChaosDwarf32.43%
The Mining Machine ReturnChaosDwarf116754-50-35 vs DarkElf67.57%
BarkengardNecromantic88718-8-26 vs ProElf36.19%
The Elf-BombProElf105926-8-18 vs Necromantic63.81%

 

GMAN - Division 5E

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Ricardo and The BoysDarkElf100243-28-51 vs HighElf36.00%
'Elfy IndividualsHighElf117751-28-43 vs DarkElf64.00%
Chorf RageChaosDwarf99236-16-37 vs WoodElf59.07%
Scions of OakHeartWoodElf88037-16-36 vs ChaosDwarf40.93%
Da Gob SquadGoblin7943-0-1 vs Ogre29.88%
REBBL OgreOgre10531-0-3 vs Goblin70.12%
Urwendorian Random MinersChaosDwarf111937-22-29 vs HighElf57.67%
XVI. Legion Luna WolvesHighElf102429-22-37 vs ChaosDwarf42.33%
The Crying HoundsHuman98024-11-27 vs HighElf47.44%
Higher then the grinderHighElf101127-11-24 vs Human52.56%
Prelfs on the ShelfProElf10079-3-11 vs Khemri50.50%
The Toot UncommonsKhemri100111-3-9 vs ProElf49.50%
Agazapados tras las ramasWoodElf9879-2-11 vs Kislev51.22%
Haley's Traveling CircusKislev97211-2-9 vs WoodElf48.78%

 

GMAN - Division 5F

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Chaos Black NightmaresChaos104987-47-71 vs Orc51.45%
Green LegionOrc103171-47-87 vs Chaos48.55%
Made in ChernobylNurgle100123-7-8 vs Amazon43.61%
Women's BB Office TeamAmazon10798-7-23 vs Nurgle56.39%
Rebbl Pain CovenDarkElf97143-28-51 vs HighElf51.15%
Rebbl ElfariHighElf95751-28-43 vs DarkElf48.85%
New Romantic XINecromantic92446-32-52 vs ChaosDwarf51.95%
Chaotic BangersChaosDwarf90152-32-46 vs Necromantic48.05%
Supremacist RunnersProElf108511-10-14 vs ChaosDwarf66.22%
River Ruin RaftersChaosDwarf88014-10-11 vs ProElf33.78%
Disturbingly RatlikeSkaven105511-9-13 vs Vampire62.52%
Dull Fangs IIVampire89913-9-11 vs Skaven37.48%
We are ZonsAmazon104011-7-4 vs Human42.80%
Kingdom Come DeliveranceHuman11284-7-11 vs Amazon57.20%

 

GMAN - Division 5G

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
1066 and all thatProElf88223-12-16 vs Chaos32.60%
Procedimiento-ilegalChaos110316-12-23 vs ProElf67.40%
Land of Make BelieveHuman74526-15-53 vs Necromantic24.74%
Scarlet CharlatansNecromantic108353-15-26 vs Human75.26%
FABBLous 2Lizardman116418-9-12 vs Vampire69.82%
Tampa Bay SuckaneersVampire90912-9-18 vs Lizardman30.18%
The ExposablesOgre9083-2-8 vs Undead42.44%
Jund Reanimate Undead10018-2-3 vs Ogre57.56%
Grass Sneaky DodgersWoodElf99552-30-43 vs Orc43.11%
Orcanized KrimeOrc107943-30-52 vs WoodElf56.89%
Glorious Misery REBBLNurgle107753-51-53 vs Necromantic52.23%
En Passant!Necromantic105053-51-53 vs Nurgle47.77%
Proud WomenAmazon98521-10-10 vs Lizardman32.27%
The Tiger LizardsLizardman121010-10-21 vs Amazon67.73%

- C_Arnoud

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