REBBL Elo scored a 52-25-25 record so far on the week which amount to 51% overall and 68% of match winners. This marks yet another solid result for the system here on GMAN.

This result comes mostly on the back of the insane 63% overall picking success with 71% of match winners predicted on the three tier 3 divisions.

I did get notice that some teams have been substituted by teams from the RAMPUP ranks both here and at REL (thanks, herotosucara), so that might have made the week easier to predict in the sense that new teams get a flat 1000 rating for being unknown commodities. The system makes predictions for those games even though they were not on the previous article and those results are a part of the overall results. I didn't see a reason to remove them or had time to, frankly; you'll have to trust that I didnt cheat or make the Elo comparison yourself :smiley_face:.

I couldnt really find any massive upset but Bitten Heroes did surprise with a win after being give 32% expected result, they'll get a good ratings bump as prize.

The best predictions happened on division 5A, where REBBL Elo got 5 games correctly and 2 draws. Keep up the good work, 5A, your checks will be on the mail.

Here's what the cold algorithm thinks of your chances for the near future:

GMAN - Division 1

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Dark Angels of LilithDarkElf122921-15-14 vs Vampire25.73%
Bloodsuckers inc.Vampire155214-15-21 vs DarkElf74.27%
The Iords of The DanceNurgle137076-39-54 vs DarkElf50.98%
[G] Absolute DisasterDarkElf135854-39-76 vs Nurgle49.02%
Marvellous MutantsChaos126769-30-70 vs Skaven32.73%
Ravens ClawsSkaven148670-30-69 vs Chaos67.27%
[GMAN] Don't mess with usDarkElf126081-46-81 vs Chaos33.66%
Slaanesh_SlaughterersChaos146781-46-81 vs DarkElf66.34%
[REBBL] BrutaliaDwarf133234-20-46 vs Orc56.83%
Da Big Mulligans!Orc124946-20-34 vs Dwarf43.17%
TEAM FANTASTICChaos168660-40-78 vs Necromantic67.40%
Prof Paresthesia's PetsNecromantic146578-40-60 vs Chaos32.60%
Ready Lizard OneLizardman157453-16-53 vs Lizardman61.60%
The LizzardblizzardLizardman143053-16-53 vs Lizardman38.40%


GMAN - Division 2A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
QuiguanasLizardman122618-9-12 vs Vampire52.85%
Bitten HeroesVampire119212-9-18 vs Lizardman47.15%
Crystal Core ProcesserUnderworld100312-11-10 vs HighElf50.59%
Sun-Baked Sea-GuardHighElf99610-11-12 vs Underworld49.41%
Moist OwlettesWoodElf110243-17-33 vs Nurgle35.67%
Nurgle Murgle OurgleNurgle128133-17-43 vs WoodElf64.33%
I hätt a SauspielKislev138518-8-9 vs Orc64.37%
Da Waagh TigerzOrc12059-8-18 vs Kislev35.63%
Chosen of Papa NurgleNurgle116051-28-57 vs Skaven29.38%
RRMafia MumbleratsSkaven142657-28-51 vs Nurgle70.62%
Chaqua ChangelingsDarkElf119683-49-91 vs Orc63.58%
Uruk HaikusOrc102791-49-83 vs DarkElf36.42%
Bert Space Bounty HuntersBretonnia13528-4-12 vs Khemri57.21%
United Scarab KhemiratesKhemri126412-4-8 vs Bretonnia42.79%


GMAN - Division 2B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Knights Saying NiBretonnia124924-13-24 vs Nurgle53.39%
Fly Lord ServantsNurgle120824-13-24 vs Bretonnia46.61%
Hell's DoofusesChaos153849-24-48 vs HighElf71.61%
The Voltrex VanguardHighElf125748-24-49 vs Chaos28.39%
Bare GillsKislev125318-9-11 vs DarkElf49.08%
Darkstar Second LinersDarkElf126411-9-18 vs Kislev50.92%
Smart ModelsChaosDwarf119854-23-40 vs Skaven34.59%
The Rat REBBLSkaven139140-23-54 vs ChaosDwarf65.41%
The Imperishable FourKhemri107819-18-16 vs Orc43.44%
Orctually RidiculousOrc115916-18-19 vs Khemri56.56%
Jinny's SugardaddiesDarkElf107912-4-2 vs Goblin56.28%
TRust in GobGoblin10022-4-12 vs DarkElf43.72%
Shock & GoreUndead109434-28-37 vs Lizardman34.28%
Cento MontaditosLizardman129237-28-34 vs Undead65.72%


GMAN - Division 3A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
The Dreaded LurgyNurgle101947-24-39 vs HighElf42.29%
Nomentano AthleticsHighElf111439-24-47 vs Nurgle57.71%
Teufelheim TacklersUndead119632-20-41 vs DarkElf45.86%
DRADIS Contact!DarkElf124641-20-32 vs Undead54.14%
My favourit thingsNurgle107751-28-57 vs Skaven66.41%
Every Game I'm Nufflin'Skaven87057-28-51 vs Nurgle33.59%
Howling_HuntersHuman86723-9-34 vs WoodElf45.49%
High SailsWoodElf92234-9-23 vs Human54.51%
Jungler BeatsAmazon114315-1-12 vs Chaos48.34%
Nuffle's Yellow HornsChaos116312-1-15 vs Amazon51.66%
The GreenhornsChaosDwarf111949-34-34 vs Orc63.02%
Gorkacidal TendenciesOrc95734-34-49 vs ChaosDwarf36.98%


GMAN - Division 3B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Bull to the boneChaosDwarf120024-14-20 vs Khemri61.53%
Granny's ChosenKhemri105720-14-24 vs ChaosDwarf38.47%
KingslayerzsUnderworld121621-11-27 vs Chaos58.80%
Whisky GaloreChaos110827-11-21 vs Underworld41.20%
Ruining Everbodys FunChaosDwarf113852-32-46 vs Necromantic80.53%
Very Necromantic NecrosNecromantic70646-32-52 vs ChaosDwarf19.47%
Defence of the AnagramsBretonnia10397-1-1 vs Ogre68.30%
Bone Fighter BooOgre8061-1-7 vs Bretonnia31.70%
Third GuardiansLizardman106161-43-68 vs Skaven58.26%
Furry HaremSkaven96068-43-61 vs Lizardman41.74%
Full Throttle RottersNurgle103065-35-48 vs Chaos36.55%
Iron MaddenChaos119848-35-65 vs Nurgle63.45%


GMAN - Division 3C

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Kopi LuwakHighElf110148-24-49 vs Chaos55.53%
Clawtimore RamsChaos103449-24-48 vs HighElf44.47%
Under - Sartosa BBASkaven114134-10-12 vs ProElf58.52%
Mirkwood AthleticProElf103612-10-34 vs Skaven41.48%
Darkside DreamersDarkElf132583-49-91 vs Orc78.66%
Dazzle WhaaagstazOrc92991-49-83 vs DarkElf21.34%
The Injurious BasterdsLizardman127735-13-16 vs Bretonnia59.94%
Knight Juggler is backBretonnia115416-13-35 vs Lizardman40.06%
Natural TalentWoodElf117714-13-23 vs Khemri41.14%
Blood ==> SandKhemri128623-13-14 vs WoodElf58.86%
The_Toxic_Avengers Nurgle105228-12-25 vs Underworld41.58%
Glart DeathGrips Jr.Underworld115525-12-28 vs Nurgle58.42%


GMAN - Division 4A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Rats on a StickSkaven88757-28-51 vs Nurgle30.85%
Stuff From My FridgeNurgle113351-28-57 vs Skaven69.15%
The Bootleg AllstarsGoblin7891-2-5 vs Human46.27%
Oomies:Electric BoogalooHuman8345-2-1 vs Goblin53.73%
Beefheart + his merry menOrc83942-20-42 vs Norse56.82%
Tall Dwarfs With No AVNorse75642-20-42 vs Orc43.18%
Baltigore RavensDarkElf103232-6-16 vs ProElf54.21%
The Sit Down BoysProElf98116-6-32 vs DarkElf45.79%
Altdorf AcrobataKislev126213-2-9 vs Underworld89.75%
Sneaky BlindersUnderworld6039-2-13 vs Kislev10.25%
ValleKas Ass KickersChaos115260-40-78 vs Necromantic51.05%
Tridentum ExsecrataNecromantic113978-40-60 vs Chaos48.95%
UmweltschützerinnenAmazon98415-11-10 vs Orc34.78%
Kommunity SportOrc117510-11-15 vs Amazon65.22%


GMAN - Division 4B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Feenix HardznailsOrc62571-34-76 vs Skaven54.71%
Lurning with LearnieSkaven56776-34-71 vs Orc45.29%
Toro LocoChaos129512-1-15 vs Amazon76.01%
The DuellistsAmazon94515-1-12 vs Chaos23.99%
Horror All StarsNecromantic96374-35-52 vs DarkElf40.24%
Typical SpanishDarkElf108352-35-74 vs Necromantic59.76%
Bile Bay GiantsChaosDwarf90533-15-14 vs Underworld45.27%
Waleed's WarriorsUnderworld96314-15-33 vs ChaosDwarf54.73%
The Khaine ToadsDarkElf99283-49-91 vs Orc28.77%
OrconudosOrc126891-49-83 vs DarkElf71.23%
Soul GuysWoodElf84934-9-23 vs Human35.69%
Ruhr Valley PitmenHuman102823-9-34 vs WoodElf64.31%
BloodhorseChaosDwarf115843-39-57 vs Nurgle63.78%
Dr Flu's MenNurgle98657-39-43 vs ChaosDwarf36.22%


GMAN - Division 4C

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
G&M's MessagersOrc99434-34-49 vs ChaosDwarf36.67%
Thermonuclear POMBChaosDwarf116049-34-34 vs Orc63.33%
Rorarimbo OrcsOrc84091-49-83 vs DarkElf48.51%
Alfheim ArtistsDarkElf85883-49-91 vs Orc51.49%
Shurgard Elf-Storage. WoodElf105040-32-39 vs Chaos69.88%
Jopen_craftbeersChaos79439-32-40 vs WoodElf30.12%
AlligatoradeLizardman104264-25-51 vs Nurgle62.93%
Calradian CrusadersNurgle88151-25-64 vs Lizardman37.07%
Düsseldorf Rhein FireDarkElf110373-32-72 vs Skaven31.37%
Woofbark's MischiefSkaven134172-32-73 vs DarkElf68.63%
Deustuko DragonsHighElf86114-6-15 vs Khemri23.69%
Block you like a hurricanKhemri121615-6-14 vs HighElf76.31%
Legion of Dead MetalNecromantic92740-20-26 vs Norse39.22%
Freyja's GuardNorse106026-20-40 vs Necromantic60.78%


GMAN - Division 4D

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Kingfisher KnightsHuman93632-26-52 vs Chaos46.29%
Nurgle Community CollegeChaos98152-26-32 vs Human53.71%
Da Happy SunsOrc88056-36-58 vs HighElf55.26%
Arrogant Bar StewardsHighElf81658-36-56 vs Orc44.74%
grinchOrc93242-20-42 vs Norse30.24%
Zmaji SeveraNorse118642-20-42 vs Orc69.76%
The Last CaressNecromantic104371-40-48 vs Skaven51.85%
Teenage Ninja RatsSkaven102148-40-71 vs Necromantic48.15%
Bare NecessitiesKislev9549-0-5 vs Goblin68.28%
Nuffle`s Chosen MisfitsGoblin7215-0-9 vs Kislev31.72%
GrimDragster's IVProElf97216-6-32 vs DarkElf50.00%
The Dark SídheDarkElf97232-6-16 vs ProElf50.00%
A Grimm TaleNurgle65565-35-48 vs Chaos16.21%
The Tanking GeneralsChaos115448-35-65 vs Nurgle83.79%


GMAN - Division 4E

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Only Foals and HobgoblinsChaosDwarf114737-17-23 vs Human49.09%
Backhand Bashing BoomersHuman115823-17-37 vs ChaosDwarf50.91%
TRBBL TryhardsWoodElf61149-22-47 vs Necromantic16.09%
Maize of TormentNecromantic111347-22-49 vs WoodElf83.91%
Tyrion's Trial By CombatDwarf105036-21-47 vs Chaos64.40%
The Byzantine BashersChaos87047-21-36 vs Dwarf35.60%
Rolling RenegadesDarkElf91645-16-25 vs Norse47.31%
Southern WildlingsNorse94925-16-45 vs DarkElf52.69%
Rat Street BoysSkaven93676-34-71 vs Orc49.18%
Saucy PigsOrc94671-34-76 vs Skaven50.82%
Chicago BolshoitKislev9457-5-18 vs Nurgle31.16%
Healed to DeathNurgle118618-5-7 vs Kislev68.84%
Tasty TunesUnderworld92112-11-10 vs HighElf38.39%
RBBLs SupremacyHighElf106410-11-12 vs Underworld61.61%


GMAN - Division 4F

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Sigmar Blood Knights RbblHuman63628-21-43 vs Skaven15.18%
Not for the Cat#1Skaven115943-21-28 vs Human84.82%
The Candymine FactionUnderworld80512-11-10 vs HighElf30.22%
Maybe a season?HighElf106010-11-12 vs Underworld69.78%
Ram Jam on HaywireOrc94134-34-49 vs ChaosDwarf39.41%
Exploding SkullsChaosDwarf107149-34-34 vs Orc60.59%
Atheist Alliance UnitedWoodElf104543-17-33 vs Nurgle57.32%
The Bob BrotherhoodNurgle95533-17-43 vs WoodElf42.68%
Bloody Bullies of BarriaVampire73711-7-22 vs Necromantic26.16%
BreakNec RampageNecromantic105322-7-11 vs Vampire73.84%
Born In The 80sDarkElf94834-16-54 vs Dwarf66.01%
Bad Dorfs RedditDwarf74654-16-34 vs DarkElf33.99%


GMAN - Division 5A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Dorflectric MayhemDwarf89726-24-26 vs WoodElf52.28%
Amazing StrippersWoodElf86926-24-26 vs Dwarf47.72%
Witches Be Trippin'DarkElf89573-32-72 vs Skaven34.08%
Revenge Of The RattatasSkaven109672-32-73 vs DarkElf65.92%
Hat TricksChaosDwarf123854-50-35 vs DarkElf60.88%
Serpents of InnoruukDarkElf110435-50-54 vs ChaosDwarf39.12%
The KleaptocratsKislev111710-1-5 vs ProElf74.09%
[REBBL]Delicacies of DoomProElf7975-1-10 vs Kislev25.91%
The Blessed OnesChaos87720-17-23 vs Khemri47.58%
FullMetal's AlkhemristsKhemri90623-17-20 vs Chaos52.42%
DeadpolsNecromantic94353-51-53 vs Nurgle43.29%
Fecal Fantasy VIINurgle102553-51-53 vs Necromantic56.71%
FullMetal AlkhemristKhemri10646-2-7 vs Amazon41.23%
Rockomotive GitcrushersAmazon11717-2-6 vs Khemri58.77%


GMAN - Division 5B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
2+ Supreme LeadersHighElf9628-1-2 vs Halfling59.56%
Cookpot CanniballsHalfling8442-1-8 vs HighElf40.44%
One thick coatChaosDwarf95149-34-34 vs Orc41.26%
Da Orkz On TourOrc105834-34-49 vs ChaosDwarf58.74%
Tungsten TitansDwarf113334-20-46 vs Orc50.75%
Porc squadOrc112446-20-34 vs Dwarf49.25%
Blood & Tears.Vampire10854-4-10 vs Norse52.66%
17 Weeks of SufferingNorse105310-4-4 vs Vampire47.34%
The Bridgeburners!Kislev102015-4-20 vs Skaven48.71%
The Tunnel SneaksSkaven103620-4-15 vs Kislev51.29%
Gas Town Gangers Skaven82472-32-73 vs DarkElf31.05%
Darkest DelfsDarkElf106673-32-72 vs Skaven68.95%
Hexoatl BravesLizardman102737-28-34 vs Undead66.61%
Fruit of the TombUndead81734-28-37 vs Lizardman33.39%


GMAN - Division 5C

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Norfsca FCNorse107143-24-35 vs Skaven39.30%
Die Wilde 13Skaven120335-24-43 vs Norse60.70%
Zuggogh Wild BoarzOrc87751-19-51 vs Orc21.13%
Cracking'n WreckingOrc127851-19-51 vs Orc78.87%
REBBL VaporwelvesProElf97316-6-32 vs DarkElf38.75%
Bloody Dark Spiky MaimersDarkElf111232-6-16 vs ProElf61.25%
Mosh Mob MünchenDwarf91521-8-16 vs Bretonnia27.89%
Grail Knights CavalryBretonnia120416-8-21 vs Dwarf72.11%
LOS PAYASOS DE LA TELEKislev73510-6-21 vs Chaos40.92%
ChaosicaChaos84721-6-10 vs Kislev59.08%
The Warped PoneysUnderworld72312-11-10 vs HighElf27.65%
Face PlantersHighElf101510-11-12 vs Underworld72.35%
TraumameistridDarkElf105452-35-74 vs Necromantic54.95%
our dog fridayNecromantic99374-35-52 vs DarkElf45.05%


GMAN - Division 5D

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
ZarratSkaven85032-20-24 vs Undead40.01%
[R] InmemoriumUndead97324-20-32 vs Skaven59.99%
BarkengardNecromantic95171-40-48 vs Skaven40.58%
Major AnnoyanceSkaven106748-40-71 vs Necromantic59.42%
Kislev SyndromeKislev9375-5-4 vs Bretonnia56.68%
Victorian VictoryBretonnia8554-5-5 vs Kislev43.32%
New Yorc PilandersOrc124023-12-18 vs ProElf69.11%
The Elf-BombProElf99518-12-23 vs Orc30.89%
Winged AdversariesHighElf103629-22-37 vs ChaosDwarf43.06%
The Mining Machine ReturnChaosDwarf112037-22-29 vs HighElf56.94%
Don Bluth's BedlamsLizardman90135-11-11 vs Underworld41.29%
Ascii Rats&GobsUnderworld100811-11-35 vs Lizardman58.71%
Bloody SinfulDarkElf102557-22-34 vs Human47.52%
Broadbay BullsHuman105534-22-57 vs DarkElf52.48%


GMAN - Division 5E

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Higher then the grinderHighElf110829-22-37 vs ChaosDwarf46.20%
Urwendorian Random MinersChaosDwarf115537-22-29 vs HighElf53.80%
Agazapados tras las ramasWoodElf103634-9-23 vs Human58.41%
The Crying HoundsHuman93223-9-34 vs WoodElf41.59%
Ricardo and The BoysDarkElf95735-50-54 vs ChaosDwarf44.49%
Chorf RageChaosDwarf102554-50-35 vs DarkElf55.51%
Scions of OakHeartWoodElf8487-3-1 vs Goblin59.69%
Da Gob SquadGoblin7291-3-7 vs WoodElf40.31%
Haley's Traveling CircusKislev93210-1-5 vs ProElf43.92%
Prelfs on the ShelfProElf10075-1-10 vs Kislev56.08%
REBBL OgreOgre10904-1-11 vs HighElf53.24%
XVI. Legion Luna WolvesHighElf105011-1-4 vs Ogre46.76%
The Toot UncommonsKhemri98615-6-14 vs HighElf37.28%
'Elfy IndividualsHighElf114514-6-15 vs Khemri62.72%


GMAN - Division 5F

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
We are ZonsAmazon108715-1-12 vs Chaos60.86%
Chaos Black NightmaresChaos95312-1-15 vs Amazon39.14%
New Romantic XINecromantic88326-6-17 vs Amazon39.87%
Women's BB Office TeamAmazon100817-6-26 vs Necromantic60.13%
Disturbingly RatlikeSkaven95057-28-51 vs Nurgle46.20%
Made in ChernobylNurgle99651-28-57 vs Skaven53.80%
Supremacist RunnersProElf111312-6-14 vs HighElf62.80%
Rebbl ElfariHighElf95414-6-12 vs ProElf37.20%
Rebbl Pain CovenDarkElf88083-49-91 vs Orc30.89%
Green LegionOrc112591-49-83 vs DarkElf69.11%
Chaotic BangersChaosDwarf100737-17-23 vs Human40.73%
Kingdom Come DeliveranceHuman112123-17-37 vs ChaosDwarf59.27%
River Ruin RaftersChaosDwarf96110-11-25 vs Vampire49.89%
Dull Fangs IIVampire96225-11-10 vs ChaosDwarf50.11%


GMAN - Division 5G

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
The Tiger LizardsLizardman123384-26-54 vs Chaos56.18%
Procedimiento-ilegalChaos115754-26-84 vs Lizardman43.82%
Tampa Bay SuckaneersVampire86711-7-22 vs Necromantic28.97%
Scarlet CharlatansNecromantic113922-7-11 vs Vampire71.03%
En Passant!Necromantic105218-8-26 vs ProElf65.97%
1066 and all thatProElf85126-8-18 vs Necromantic34.03%
FABBLous 2Lizardman110764-25-51 vs Nurgle49.10%
Glorious Misery REBBLNurgle111851-25-64 vs Lizardman50.90%
Orcanized KrimeOrc103231-26-40 vs Undead48.54%
Jund Reanimate Undead105040-26-31 vs Orc51.46%
Proud WomenAmazon10458-5-1 vs Ogre64.44%
The ExposablesOgre8641-5-8 vs Amazon35.56%
Grass Sneaky DodgersWoodElf95234-9-23 vs Human67.99%
Land of Make BelieveHuman72323-9-34 vs WoodElf32.01%

- C_Arnoud

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