Full disclosure: the Swiss games forced a last minute change to try to cope with games with an unexpected format and predictions for such divisions might be useless. Taking a quick glance at some ratings, I've seen weird variations and I'm now wondering if there is something else different. If you are reading this and know of such a case, please send me a Discord message or Reddit comment so that I try to track it. Unfortunately, I'll probably not have time to look into it properly until the season ends.

All that being said, result appear to have been good once more as predictions were 52-15-25 (57% correct overall and 68% when excluding draws). Here are you tentative predictions for the next week:

REL - Division 1

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
The Bad AppIesDarkElf111085-47-88 vs Chaos23.20%
Conspiration EntropiqueChaos147488-47-85 vs DarkElf76.80%
Greenskin BrawlersOrc151753-19-53 vs Orc70.37%
cheesetactics mk.IIOrc125453-19-53 vs Orc29.63%
The Rowdy REBBL RousersNurgle153851-27-42 vs HighElf57.51%
Not An Anime Sports Team HighElf144642-27-51 vs Nurgle42.49%
RAGE DORFDwarf124628-28-50 vs Necromantic51.70%
Thick Rich and CreamyNecromantic122550-28-28 vs Dwarf48.30%
Arkangell's WillWoodElf151554-20-50 vs Lizardman68.35%
Fogmire FenbeastsLizardman128150-20-54 vs WoodElf31.65%
Scooby and the GangNecromantic168656-53-56 vs Nurgle54.40%
Fear_And_BloatingNurgle163356-53-56 vs Necromantic45.60%
Gotta Catch Em AIlNurgle147657-28-67 vs Lizardman59.56%
Charlestown ChiefsLizardman135967-28-57 vs Nurgle40.44%

 

REL - Division 2A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
The Contract KillersChaosDwarf135844-32-52 vs Chaos67.82%
Horn Stars MMXVIIIChaos113152-32-44 vs ChaosDwarf32.18%
The Greenie WeeniesOrc107455-44-72 vs Nurgle40.67%
Abysmal CuspNurgle118972-44-55 vs Orc59.33%
Arequipa Nurglerers ReBBLNurgle135256-53-56 vs Necromantic55.50%
The Forsaken AwokenNecromantic128556-53-56 vs Nurgle44.50%
REBBL Rage QuitChaosDwarf109747-43-62 vs Nurgle18.50%
Grungy DessertsNurgle154762-43-47 vs ChaosDwarf81.50%
Welcome to the Dark SideDarkElf121983-35-81 vs Skaven66.73%
REBBL CHEESE THIEVESSkaven100881-35-83 vs DarkElf33.27%
BioWare for LifeVampire11503-3-6 vs Bretonnia26.54%
Battle BrothersBretonnia14606-3-3 vs Vampire73.46%
Felwithe's Koada'DalHighElf146047-25-65 vs Lizardman56.02%
Lackland Long TonguesLizardman138765-25-47 vs HighElf43.98%

 

REL - Division 2B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Romenyan RebelsDarkElf111821-16-16 vs Vampire42.19%
Gourmet GovernorsVampire121416-16-21 vs DarkElf57.81%
Murdery Space Elf TroupeDarkElf140758-16-58 vs DarkElf57.91%
We Chillin'DarkElf131058-16-58 vs DarkElf42.09%
The Grody GreensNurgle149137-17-28 vs Norse71.71%
Yhetee to ConquerNorse120828-17-37 vs Nurgle28.29%
Bring Out yer UndeadKhemri124620-18-25 vs ChaosDwarf37.63%
Boss Hawg OutlawsChaosDwarf140025-18-20 vs Khemri62.37%
Bogue BombersHuman125033-25-46 vs Nurgle49.38%
Blighty MoesNurgle125846-25-33 vs Human50.62%
Ars GoatiaChaos131976-33-74 vs Skaven48.24%
One CheeseSkaven134074-33-76 vs Chaos51.76%
Ace Trucking Co.ChaosDwarf115939-15-23 vs Dwarf63.45%
StumpforceDwarf99123-15-39 vs ChaosDwarf36.55%

 

REL - Division 3A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Foul TargetsWoodElf137343-21-47 vs Skaven73.92%
Lords of DecaySkaven105647-21-43 vs WoodElf26.08%
Scurry SqwaudSkaven114161-31-55 vs Nurgle47.44%
Ye Olde GuardNurgle117355-31-61 vs Skaven52.56%
Dazed N ConfusedNurgle121562-43-47 vs ChaosDwarf54.34%
The Commodious ThunderChaosDwarf116247-43-62 vs Nurgle45.66%
My Dixie WreckedHuman108922-12-19 vs Bretonnia68.54%
Channel 8 News TeamBretonnia85219-12-22 vs Human31.46%
Dead Wrestler's SocietyLizardman123249-19-25 vs Norse80.69%
Oath BlowNorse79825-19-49 vs Lizardman19.31%
Brick and MortaryOrc119674-50-95 vs Chaos65.99%
Revenge of the RefereesChaos99495-50-74 vs Orc34.01%

 

REL - Division 3B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
2nd Tuffest n the InfantsUnderworld89622-15-27 vs Orc24.89%
Ford NationOrc123227-15-22 vs Underworld75.11%
Donkeys & ElephantsChaos116395-50-74 vs Orc61.26%
Commanders in GriefOrc102474-50-95 vs Chaos38.74%
Teched For BattleKhemri140518-8-17 vs HighElf70.88%
Mass BoltsHighElf113517-8-18 vs Khemri29.12%
White Walkers of RebbLUndead117036-19-34 vs Chaos38.87%
All the Stars of ChaosChaos130834-19-36 vs Undead61.13%
Paranoid PuppiesNecromantic107851-24-52 vs WoodElf46.35%
Delicious elvesWoodElf112252-24-51 vs Necromantic53.65%
Tarot AllianceChaosDwarf95747-43-62 vs Nurgle34.16%
Mighty ThrustNurgle115762-43-47 vs ChaosDwarf65.84%

 

REL - Division 3C

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Thus with a kiss I dieWoodElf121611-4-4 vs Vampire61.81%
Castlevania CreepsVampire10694-4-11 vs WoodElf38.19%
Wrath Of NuffleChaos118850-21-38 vs Dwarf69.92%
Cogs of War IVDwarf93238-21-50 vs Chaos30.08%
Bullcanoe!ChaosDwarf131659-35-39 vs Orc68.51%
Da Secret of My SuccessOrc108039-35-59 vs ChaosDwarf31.49%
Meaniest Greeniest BoizOrc109039-35-59 vs ChaosDwarf35.94%
Doom AnvilsChaosDwarf126559-35-39 vs Orc64.06%
SkurgleNurgle124718-2-6 vs Halfling84.31%
Flinging FunHalfling7366-2-18 vs Nurgle15.69%

 

REL - Division 4A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Toucan Play At ThatKhemri112923-12-23 vs Lizardman63.13%
Lizards of the CaribbeanLizardman96523-12-23 vs Khemri36.87%
Dead Man's HandNecromantic101955-16-26 vs Human52.63%
The Scott's Tots Episode Human98726-16-55 vs Necromantic47.37%
Cliché-osChaos125988-47-85 vs DarkElf79.79%
Kicker of ElvesDarkElf84185-47-88 vs Chaos20.21%
Pox InvictusNurgle126855-31-61 vs Skaven91.20%
CheesewheelsSkaven55761-31-55 vs Nurgle8.80%
Crypt Lords 2 BoogalooNecromantic86350-28-28 vs Dwarf46.44%
Thorim's CompanyDwarf90728-28-50 vs Necromantic53.56%
PrettyPinkPwniesBretonnia87121-23-39 vs Chaos32.14%
The criminally insaneChaos109839-23-21 vs Bretonnia67.86%
Pepper SnakesOrc106862-40-62 vs HighElf50.09%
Tegridy FarmersHighElf106762-40-62 vs Orc49.91%

 

REL - Division 4B

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Boogie MinersUnderworld7335-3-3 vs Goblin55.35%
Danny's DevitosGoblin6683-3-5 vs Underworld44.65%
Top Tent CircusKislev10678-5-20 vs Nurgle70.11%
The Fashion PoliceNurgle80820-5-8 vs Kislev29.89%
Valparaiso BullsChaosDwarf103444-32-52 vs Chaos46.78%
The Horn of Gor'thancChaos107352-32-44 vs ChaosDwarf53.22%
Chaos for Chaos SakeUndead64025-21-36 vs Skaven14.32%
Ratt UtdSkaven118436-21-25 vs Undead85.68%
The Darkness RisesDarkElf96249-19-31 vs Norse55.11%
The Bifrost GuardiansNorse89931-19-49 vs DarkElf44.89%
Primal Concrete SledgeChaos118368-43-85 vs Necromantic47.71%
Talk Show TerrorNecromantic121185-43-68 vs Chaos52.29%
Leapin' Lizards!!Skaven87881-35-83 vs DarkElf51.19%
Nightmare on Elf StreetDarkElf86383-35-81 vs Skaven48.81%

 

REL - Division 4C

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Warp,Stone & Rock 'n RollUnderworld104114-17-36 vs ChaosDwarf60.68%
Thousand Island StareChaosDwarf90936-17-14 vs Underworld39.32%
S-I-TKislev104913-2-13 vs HighElf54.04%
Phantom Thieves of HeartsHighElf100013-2-13 vs Kislev45.96%
Orcs with ForcsOrc102064-39-83 vs Lizardman64.25%
Blutverein SilurienLizardman84283-39-64 vs Orc35.75%
I fail dodges RBBLDarkElf80385-47-88 vs Chaos45.59%
Comic Book HeroesChaos85788-47-85 vs DarkElf54.41%
[colour='ff000000']DELVESDarkElf118157-42-84 vs Nurgle74.07%
The Rotting Cum BoysNurgle86284-42-57 vs DarkElf25.93%
Grr PatrolNecromantic102820-8-29 vs ProElf35.48%
Bowie Would Be Ag 4ProElf120929-8-20 vs Necromantic64.52%
Nudey DudesNorse109015-9-18 vs Undead45.92%
Dead and Scoring itUndead114018-9-15 vs Norse54.08%

 

REL - Division 4D

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Hela's KitchenNorse107518-10-27 vs Human47.46%
FlyboysHuman110627-10-18 vs Norse52.54%
All Bark, No BiteWoodElf102913-3-11 vs ProElf76.03%
Cross of the EmpireProElf67811-3-13 vs WoodElf23.97%
Tainted BrewersChaosDwarf112157-24-42 vs Skaven60.21%
The Rat's of NIMHSkaven99542-24-57 vs ChaosDwarf39.79%
MEAN GREEN & THICCC Orc107364-47-65 vs Necromantic48.43%
Arf Arf I'm An ElfNecromantic109265-47-64 vs Orc51.57%
Stirland HornetsProElf118210-3-12 vs Khemri81.29%
The Skaven-Rat RodentsKhemri73512-3-10 vs ProElf18.71%
Goatwork OrangeChaos109340-32-46 vs WoodElf61.11%
Silkwood Sidhe SlickersWoodElf95646-32-40 vs Chaos38.89%
goblins.decSkaven105863-28-41 vs HighElf69.61%
Peak ElfitudeHighElf80641-28-63 vs Skaven30.39%

 

REL - Division 4E

 

REL - Division 4F

 

REL - Division 5A

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Norsca-MaraudersChaos63737-25-52 vs Norse16.73%
Let Me Be BriefNorse112552-25-37 vs Chaos83.27%
Bones Under WrapsKhemri113215-10-5 vs Underworld52.22%
Skitter & FriendsUnderworld11055-10-15 vs Khemri47.78%
Hot Sandwich ActionOrc101348-23-35 vs Dwarf63.12%
Mount Gunbad IrondrakesDwarf84935-23-48 vs Orc36.88%
Legends of the AfterlifeNecromantic98078-35-60 vs Lizardman43.55%
Cretaceous KitchenLizardman105960-35-78 vs Necromantic56.45%
Uniquely DangerousSkaven114839-25-46 vs Norse52.56%
Bifrost BayNorse111646-25-39 vs Skaven47.44%
Marvelous CreaturesDarkElf97955-38-78 vs Necromantic43.76%
Rebbl's FrightestNecromantic105578-38-55 vs DarkElf56.24%
Advanced Dunces & DragonsWoodElf87310-0-4 vs Ogre50.75%
Mad Lads of Unusual SizeOgre8644-0-10 vs WoodElf49.25%

 

REL - Division 5B

 

REL - Division 5C

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Mass Extinction EventLizardman82154-16-54 vs Lizardman24.75%
Large Scale RiotLizardman115954-16-54 vs Lizardman75.25%
2-4-5 TrioxinUndead101833-21-42 vs DarkElf71.98%
Redwall BloodcatsDarkElf73242-21-33 vs Undead28.02%
Silver Sun SaurusLizardman101711-12-21 vs Amazon47.29%
Themiscyra BB ClubAmazon105021-12-11 vs Lizardman52.71%
From BeyondNurgle104018-2-6 vs Halfling67.82%
NeopolitansHalfling8146-2-18 vs Nurgle32.18%
MLD: Chaos is MagicChaosDwarf117639-15-23 vs Dwarf58.49%
[REL] Craft Beer HipstersDwarf107123-15-39 vs ChaosDwarf41.51%
ReBBL plays NFL BlitzProElf10047-1-7 vs ProElf34.49%
Broken Bone BattalionProElf11997-1-7 vs ProElf65.51%

 

REL - Division 5D

 

REL - Division 5E

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Wissenland Wight KnightsUndead97722-24-24 vs Nurgle54.52%
A Pox Upon YouNurgle92224-24-22 vs Undead45.48%
Da Primal ScreemsOrc69982-38-84 vs Skaven14.47%
Dreams of Golden StreamsSkaven123984-38-82 vs Orc85.53%
Barbecue's Pit CrewChaosDwarf98936-17-14 vs Underworld66.07%
Laboratory EscapeesUnderworld78714-17-36 vs ChaosDwarf33.93%
Bubba Sawyer and FriendsGoblin10202-4-16 vs DarkElf62.28%
Khaine's KhrushersDarkElf86816-4-2 vs Goblin37.72%
The West Coast SaintsHuman118836-26-59 vs Chaos42.71%
The Farm Animals Mark IIChaos127759-26-36 vs Human57.29%
Earth-Warder's FlightLizardman98254-16-54 vs Lizardman52.84%
Cold-Blooded Thrillers Lizardman94854-16-54 vs Lizardman47.16%
Rectal OpenersSkaven95584-38-82 vs Orc36.10%
Hob-NobsOrc112982-38-84 vs Skaven63.90%

 

REL - Division 5F

NameRaceElo RatingRace Matchup (REL and GMAN history)Expected Result
Eradicators!!!Bretonnia99233-26-35 vs Skaven27.48%
Balloonicorn CavalrySkaven128735-26-33 vs Bretonnia72.52%
Frog-Legged FreelancersKislev92711-4-16 vs Lizardman53.31%
The Big ZuccsLizardman88716-4-11 vs Kislev46.69%
Reb Brown RatzSkaven92119-4-21 vs Amazon46.47%
SpookyBoosAmazon96421-4-19 vs Skaven53.53%
The Rat BastahdsSkaven132914-10-15 vs Vampire67.73%
Horrible Ms. StakesVampire110415-10-14 vs Skaven32.27%
Muscular HumanistsHuman76536-25-61 vs Lizardman43.75%
The Wizard-menLizardman84261-25-36 vs Human56.25%
Radioactive FrogsSkaven101484-38-82 vs Orc65.82%
Duh BoyzOrc81582-38-84 vs Skaven34.18%
The Civilization SeekersProElf106211-8-9 vs Human47.59%
:BOLD::REBBL: SuperheroesHuman10919-8-11 vs ProElf52.41%

- C_Arnoud

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REL REL Div 2b - Week 02

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REL REL Div 2b - Week 03

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